证据的组合

   (1)定义

    对于相同的证据,由于来源不同,可能得不同的基本概率赋值函数,D-S证据理论采用正交和来组合这些函数。     

    设m1,m2,...,mn为2U上的n个基本概率赋值函数,它们的正交和表示为m=m1m2...mn,且定义为   

           

若K-1=0,则说明mi(Ai)之间是矛盾的。

     (2)举例

   例:设U={a,b},且从不同的证据源得知概率赋值函数分别为

                  m1(Φ,{a},{b},{a,b})=(0,0.4,0.5,0.1)           

          m2(Φ,{a},{b},{a,b})=(0,0.6,0.2,0.2)  

求正交和m=m1m2 

   解:先求K-1

      K-1=

         =m1({a})*m2({a})+m1({a})*m2({a,b})+m1({b})*m2({b})

          +m1({b})*m2({a,b})+m1({a,b})*m2({b})+m1({a,b})*m2({a,b})

         =0.4*0.6+0.4*0.2+0.5*0.2+0.5*0.2+0.1*0.6+0.1*0.2+0.1*0.2

         =0.62

再求m(A)=K*

              m({a})=[1/0.62]*[m1({a})*m2({a})+m1({a,b})*m2({a})+m1({a})*m2({a,b})]

                     =[1/0.62]*[0.4*0.6+0.1*0.6+0.4*0.2]

                     =0.61

          m({b})=[1/0.62]*[m1({b})*m2({b})+m1({a,b})*m2({b})+m1({b})*m2({a,b})]

            =[1/0.62]*[0.5*0.2+0.1*0.2+0.5*0.2]

                     =0.36

          m({a,b})=[1/0.62]*[m1({a,b})*m2({a,b})]

                        =[1/0.62]*[0.1*0.2]

            =0.03

   所以有m(Φ,{a},{b},{a,b})=(0,0.61,0.36,0.03) 

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